Top Rookie Prospects for 2011 Fantasy Baseball (With Help From Keith Law and Jonathan Mayo)

By | May 20, 2017

By now you may have seen Keith Law’s Top 100 Prospects Rankings and Jonathan Mayo’s Top 50 Prospects Rankings.  While these rankings are excellent for serious baseball fans, unfortunately they don’t help us too much in terms of our Fantasy Baseball Drafts this year.  Most of the ranked players will not even come close to contributing in 2011.  Mike Trout and Bryce Harper may be ranked #1 and #2 but unless you are in some insane dynasty league where you can keep minor league players for several years (sounds pretty awesome, actually)  you aren’t going anywhere near them in a draft.  So how do we “fantasize” these rankings?

First, I combined Law’s and Mayo’s rankings to get an average ranking for each player.  For example, Harper is ranked #2 by Law and #3 by Mayo, for an average rank of 2.5, which makes him #2 in the sorted list. Where Mayo hadn’t ranked someone on Law’s list (or vice versa) I just used whoever’s rank was available.   Second,  I looked at each player one-by-one and assigned an anticipated call-up date based on several factors including the experts’ opinions, their age, the highest level in the minors they’ve achieved, and whether or not they have anyone blocking them in the majors.  Finally, I organized the list into three tiers based on their year of anticipated arrival to the Majors.  For 2011 I estimated the time of year that they would be called up as well.  The results should give you an excellent idea for which rookie sleepers to target in your upcoming 2011 fantasy baseball drafts, especially in keeper leagues.

Here is the format:

Rank – Player, Position, Team (Keith Law #/ Jonathan Mayo#/ Average #) EST. DEBUT

Top Rookie Prospects for Fantasy Baseball

In the Majors in 2011

1 – Domonic Brown RF Philadelphia (KL : 3 / JM : 4 / AVG : 3.5 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

2 – Dustin Ackley 2B Seattle (KL : 7 / JM : 5 / AVG : 6 ) Probably Up: JUNE

3 – Eric Hosmer 1B Kansas City (KL : 5 / JM : 8 / AVG : 6.5 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

4 – Jesus Montero C NY Yankees (KL : 4 / JM : 9 / AVG : 6.5 ) Probably Up: JUNE

5 – Jeremy Hellickson RHP TB (KL : 14 / JM : 2 / AVG : 8 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

6 – Julio Teheran RHP Atlanta (KL : 6 / JM : 10 / AVG : 8 ) Probably Up: JUNE

7 – Aroldis Chapman LHP CIN (KL : 15 / JM : 6 / AVG : 10.5 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

8 – Kyle Drabek RHP Toronto (KL : 13 / JM : 12 / AVG : 12.5 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

9 – Mike Moustakas 3B Kansas City (KL : 23 / JM : 7 / AVG : 15 ) Probably Up: JUNE

10 – Zach Britton LHP Baltimore (KL : 11 / JM : 19 / AVG : 15 ) Probably Up: JUNE

11 – Desmond Jennings CF TB (KL : 20 / JM : 11 / AVG : 15.5 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

12 – Michael Pineda RHP Seattle (KL : 21 / JM : 13 / AVG : 17 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

13 – Jacob Turner RHP Detroit (KL : 22 / JM : 15 / AVG : 18.5 ) Probably Up: JUNE

14 – Brandon Belt 1B San Francisco (KL : 17 / JM : 26 / AVG : 21.5 ) Probably Up: JUNE

15 – Jarrod Parker RHP Arizona (KL : 25 / JM : 29 / AVG : 27 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

16 – Freddie Freeman 1B Atlanta (KL : 43 / JM : 17 / AVG : 30 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

17 – Kyle Gibson RHP Minnesota (KL : 32 / JM : 40 / AVG : 36 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

18 – Jordan Lyles RHP Houston (KL : 42 / JM : 31 / AVG : 36.5 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

19 – Lonnie Chisenhall 3B CLE (KL : 39 / JM : 36 / AVG : 37.5 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

20 – Mike Minor LHP Atlanta (KL : 61 / JM : 21 / AVG : 41 ) Probably Up: JUNE

21 – Chris Sale LHP Chicago WS (KL : 67 / JM : 25 / AVG : 46 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

22 – Brett Jackson Cubs (KL : N/R / JM : 46 / AVG : 46 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

23 – Jason Kipnis 2B Cleveland (KL : 56 / JM : N/R / AVG : 56 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

24 – Hank Conger C LA Angels (KL : 62 / JM : N/R / AVG : 62 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

25 – J.P. Arencibia C Toronto (KL : 82 / JM : 48 / AVG : 65 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

26 – Ben Revere CF Minnesota (KL : 71 / JM : N/R / AVG : 71 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

27 – Jordan Walden RHP LA Angels (KL : 85 / JM : N/R / AVG : 85 ) Probably Up: SEPTEMBER

28 – Wilson Ramos C Washington (KL : 95 / JM : N/R / AVG : 95 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

29 – Jake McGee LHP Tampa Bay (KL : 97 / JM : N/R / AVG : 97 ) Probably Up: OPENING DAY

In the Majors in 2012

1 – Wil Myers C/RF Kansas City (KL : 8 / JM : 16 / AVG : 12 )

2 – Shelby Miller RHP St. Louis (KL : 9 / JM : 20 / AVG : 14.5 )

3 – Casey Kelly RHP San Diego (KL : 19 / JM : 22 / AVG : 20.5 )

4 – Mike Montgomery LHP Kansas City (KL : 28 / JM : 14 / AVG : 21 )

5 – Matt Moore LHP Tampa Bay (KL : 16 / JM : 27 / AVG : 21.5 )

6 – Tyler Matzek LHP Colorado (KL : 24 / JM : 33 / AVG : 28.5 )

7 – Brett Lawrie 2B Toronto (KL : 37 / JM : 28 / AVG : 32.5 )

8 – Jake Odorizzi Royals (KL : N/R / JM : 37 / AVG : 37 )

9 – John Lamb LHP Kansas City (KL : 41 / JM : 34 / AVG : 37.5 )

10 – Devin Mesoraco C Cincinnati (KL : 31 / JM : 45 / AVG : 38 )

11 – Anthony Rizzo 1B San Diego (KL : 38 / JM : N/R / AVG : 38 )

12 – Tanner Scheppers Rangers (KL : N/R / JM : 43 / AVG : 43 )

13 – Chris Archer RHP Tampa Bay (KL : 40 / JM : 47 / AVG : 43.5 )

14 – Wilin Rosario C Colorado (KL : 69 / JM : 41 / AVG : 55 )

15 – Devaris Gordon SS LA Dodgers (KL : 70 / JM : 44 / AVG : 57 )

16 – Yonder Alonso 1B Cincinnati (KL : 65 / JM : 49 / AVG : 57 )

17 – Simon Castro RHP San Diego (KL : 64 / JM : N/R / AVG : 64 )

18 – Chris Carter 1B/OF Oakland (KL : 80 / JM : N/R / AVG : 80 )

In the Majors in 2013 or Later

1 – Mike Trout CF LA Angels (KL : 1 / JM : 1 / AVG : 1 )

2 – Bryce Harper RF Washington (KL : 2 / JM : 3 / AVG : 2.5 )

3 – Martin Perez LHP Texas (KL : 18 / JM : 23 / AVG : 20.5 )

4 – Manny Banuelos LHP NY Yankees (KL : 12 / JM : 35 / AVG : 23.5 )

5 – Jameson Taillon RHP Pittsburgh (KL : 30 / JM : 18 / AVG : 24 )

6 – Aaron Hicks CF/RF Minnesota (KL : 10 / JM : 39 / AVG : 24.5 )

7 – Manny Machado SS Baltimore (KL : 26 / JM : 24 / AVG : 25 )

8 – Jonathan Singleton 1B/LF Philadelphia (KL : 27 / JM : 30 / AVG : 28.5 )

9 – Miguel Sano 3B Minnesota (KL : 29 / JM : N/R / AVG : 29 )

10 – Derek Norris C Washington (KL : 33 / JM : N/R / AVG : 33 )

11 – Jarred Cosart RHP Philadelphia (KL : 34 / JM : N/R / AVG : 34 )

12 – Jean Segura 2B/SS LA Angels (KL : 35 / JM : N/R / AVG : 35 )

13 – Zack Wheeler RHP San Francisco (KL : 36 / JM : N/R / AVG : 36 )

14 – Jose Iglesias SS Boston (KL : 45 / JM : 42 / AVG : 43.5 )

15 – Zach Stewart RHP Toronto (KL : 44 / JM : N/R / AVG : 44 )

16 – Nick Franklin SS Seattle (KL : 53 / JM : 38 / AVG : 45.5 )

17 – Jaff Decker LF/RF San Diego (KL : 46 / JM : N/R / AVG : 46 )

18 – Arodys Vizcaino RHP Atlanta (KL : 47 / JM : N/R / AVG : 47 )

19 – Wilmer Flores SS NY Mets (KL : 48 / JM : N/R / AVG : 48 )

20 – Hak-Ju Lee SS Tampa Bay (KL : 49 / JM : N/R / AVG : 49 )

21 – Gary Sanchez C NY Yankees (KL : 68 / JM : 32 / AVG : 50 )

22 – Randall Delgado RHP Atlanta (KL : 50 / JM : N/R / AVG : 50 )

23 – Billy Hamilton SS Cincinnati (KL : 51 / JM : N/R / AVG : 51 )

24 – Carlos Matias RHP St. Louis (KL : 52 / JM : N/R / AVG : 52 )

25 – Anthony Ranaudo RHP Boston (KL : 54 / JM : N/R / AVG : 54 )

26 – Matt Dominguez 3B Florida (KL : 55 / JM : N/R / AVG : 55 )

27 – Travis d’Arnaud C Toronto (KL : 57 / JM : N/R / AVG : 57 )

28 – Grant Green SS Oakland (KL : 58 / JM : N/R / AVG : 58 )

29 – Yasmani Grandal C Cincinnati (KL : 59 / JM : N/R / AVG : 59 )

30 – Drew Pomeranz LHP Cleveland (KL : 60 / JM : N/R / AVG : 60 )

31 – Tony Sanchez C Pittsburgh (KL : 63 / JM : N/R / AVG : 63 )

32 – Trey McNutt RHP Chicago Cubs (KL : 66 / JM : N/R / AVG : 66 )

33 – Christian Friedrich LHP Colorado (KL : 87 / JM : 50 / AVG : 68.5 )

34 – Zack Cox 3B St. Louis (KL : 72 / JM : N/R / AVG : 72 )

35 – Dellin Betances RHP NY Yankees (KL : 73 / JM : N/R / AVG : 73 )

36 – Oswaldo Arcia OF Minnesota (KL : 74 / JM : N/R / AVG : 74 )

37 – Nick Castellanos 3B Detroit (KL : 75 / JM : N/R / AVG : 75 )

38 – Brody Colvin RHP Philadelphia (KL : 76 / JM : N/R / AVG : 76 )

39 – Alex Torres LHP Tampa Bay (KL : 77 / JM : N/R / AVG : 77 )

40 – Tyler Skaggs LHP Arizona (KL : 78 / JM : N/R / AVG : 78 )

41 – Christian Yelich 1B/OF Florida (KL : 79 / JM : N/R / AVG : 79 )

42 – Jurickson Profar SS Texas (KL : 81 / JM : N/R / AVG : 81 )

43 – Matt Harvey RHP NY Mets (KL : 83 / JM : N/R / AVG : 83 )

44 – Chris Owings SS Arizona (KL : 84 / JM : N/R / AVG : 84 )

45 – Matt Davidson 3B Arizona (KL : 86 / JM : N/R / AVG : 86 )

46 – Andrew Brackman RHP NY Yankees (KL : 88 / JM : N/R / AVG : 88 )

47 – Alex Colome RHP Tampa Bay (KL : 89 / JM : N/R / AVG : 89 )

48 – Drake Britton LHP Boston (KL : 90 / JM : N/R / AVG : 90 )

49 – Zach Lee RHP LA Dodgers (KL : 91 / JM : N/R / AVG : 91 )

50 – Nolan Arenado 3B Colorado (KL : 92 / JM : N/R / AVG : 92 )

51 – Trevor May RHP Philadelphia (KL : 93 / JM : N/R / AVG : 93 )

52 – Rubby de la Rosa RHP LA Dodgers (KL : 94 / JM : N/R / AVG : 94 )

53 – Adeiny Hechevarria SS Toronto (KL : 96 / JM : N/R / AVG : 96 )

54 – Danny Duffy LHP Kansas City (KL : 98 / JM : N/R / AVG : 98 )

55 – Aaron Sanchez RHP Toronto (KL : 99 / JM : N/R / AVG : 99 )

56 – James Jones OF Seattle (KL : 100 / JM : N/R / AVG : 100 )

My Fantasy Baseball 2011 Rankings

Overall | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF | DH | RP | SP | Prospects

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